Nigeria

Nigeria is the vault’s clearest example of payment failure originating at the very top of the chain — the public client itself. It has no construction-specific Prompt Payment Legislation and no statutory Construction Adjudication; the dominant payment problem is not contractor-to-subcontractor friction but the Federal Government’s own failure to pay contractors for completed, verified public projects.

Nigeria [supports] Construction Payment Problem Nigeria [relates] Global Subcontractor Payment Delays

The scale is large enough to register as a macroeconomic signal. By 2026, contractors had endured more than a year of non-payment on federal Ministries/Departments/Agencies projects executed since 2024; the All Indigenous Contractors Association of Nigeria (AICAN) put additional unverified claims at over ₦1 trillion. The Federal Government earmarked ₦100 billion in the 2026 Appropriation Bill to settle indigenous-contractor debts — one of the largest such single-year allocations in Nigeria’s fiscal history, which itself indicates the magnitude of accumulated arrears. Contractors have staged protests across several states over months of unpaid certificates.

Nigeria [causes] Contractor Insolvency and Subcontractor Risk Nigeria [relates] Construction Payment Pyramid

The downstream effects mirror patterns seen elsewhere but are sharper. Analysts describe contractors as having become “informal financiers of government spending”; banks have reportedly blacklisted government contractors or imposed punitive interest and collateral terms, recognising elevated default risk; and delayed payment pushes up construction costs and threatens housing delivery. Investors now price federal contractor arrears into Nigeria’s sovereign credit risk. Nigeria belongs in the same category as the EU public sector, South Africa and Ghana — markets where the government is itself a primary late payer — but at a severity where the construction payment problem becomes a question of fiscal sustainability.

Nigeria [relates] South Africa

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